Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 1 |
Aug 23 2025 |
W |
Sam Houston
|
41-24 |
1446.0 |
+69.4
|
1515.4 |
80.7% |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
W |
North Alabama
|
55-6 |
1515.4 |
+0.0
|
1515.4 |
52.2% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
L |
Toledo
|
21-45 |
1515.4 |
-48.7
|
1466.7 |
64.7% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Nevada
|
31-16 |
1466.7 |
+7.3
|
1474.0 |
88.7% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
W |
Missouri State
|
27-22 |
1474.0 |
+7.1
|
1481.1 |
93.8% |
| 7 |
Oct 3 2025 |
W |
Delaware
|
27-24 |
1481.1 |
+8.7
|
1489.8 |
92.3% |
| 9 |
Oct 14 2025 |
L |
Florida International
|
6-25 |
1489.8 |
-77.7
|
1412.1 |
88.6% |
| 10 |
Oct 21 2025 |
W |
Louisiana Tech
|
28-27 |
1412.1 |
+34.1
|
1446.2 |
67.2% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
W |
New Mexico State
|
35-16 |
1446.2 |
+10.9
|
1457.1 |
83.2% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
Middle Tennessee
|
42-26 |
1457.1 |
+4.5
|
1461.6 |
92.9% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
L |
LSU
|
10-13 |
1461.6 |
-11.2
|
1450.4 |
17.2% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
L |
Jacksonville State
|
34-37 |
1450.4 |
-36.5
|
1413.9 |
50.8% |
| 19 |
Dec 23 2025 |
W |
Southern Miss
|
27-16 |
1413.9 |
+29.3
|
1443.2 |
65.5% |